Development of a Generic Physiologically Based Kinetic Model to Predict In Vivo Uterotrophic Responses Induced by Estrogenic Chemicals in Rats Based on In Vitro Bioassays

The present study assessed the potential of a generic physiologically based kinetic (PBK) model to convert in vitro data for estrogenicity to predict the in vivo uterotrophic response in rats for diethylstibestrol (DES), ethinylestradiol (EE2), genistein (GEN), coumestrol (COU), and methoxychlor (MXC). PBK models were developed using a generic approach and in vitro concentration-response data from the MCF-7 proliferation assay and the yeast estrogen screening assay were translated into in vivo dose-response data. Benchmark dose analysis was performed on the predicted data and available in vivo uterotrophic data to evaluate the model predictions. The results reveal that the developed generic PBK model adequate defines the in vivo kinetics of the estrogens. The predicted dose-response data of DES, EE2, GEN, COU, and MXC matched the reported in vivo uterus weight response in a qualitative way, whereas the quantitative comparison was somewhat hampered by the variability in both in vitro and in vivo data. From a safety perspective, the predictions based on the MCF-7 proliferation assay would best guarantee a safe point of departure for further risk assessment although it may be conservative. The current study indicates the feasibility of using a combination of in vitro toxicity data and a generic PBK model to predict the relative in vivo uterotrophic response for estrogenic chemicals.