Deletions on 9p21 are associated with worse outcomes after anti-PD-1/PD-L1 monotherapy but not chemoimmunotherapy

NCCN guidelines for first-line treatment of advanced non-squamous non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients without targetable driver alterations includes either immunotherapy alone or in combination with chemotherapy. In this study, we investigated genomic predictors of survival after immunotherapy to guide this treatment decision. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to identify genomic correlates of survival in a cohort of EGFR/ALK-, non-squamous NSCLC patients treated with first-line pembrolizumab monotherapy (mono-IO) or pembrolizumab in combination with carboplatin/cisplatin and pemetrexed (chemo-IO) within a real-world clinico-genomic database. The effect of deletions on 9p21 was further evaluated in five additional tumor types. Among mono-IO treated non-squamous NSCLC patients, tumors with 9p21.3 gene deletions (CDKN2A, CDKN2B, MTAP) were associated with worse survival compared to the corresponding deletion-negative tumors (CDKN2A deletion HR = 1.8, P = 0.001). However, this association was not observed among chemo-IO treated patients (CDKN2A deletion HR = 1.1, P = 0.4). This finding remained after adjusting for clinical and genomic features including TMB and PD-L1. Deletions at 9p21.3 were not associated with differences in TMB, PD-L1, or tumor inflammation. Due to the high incidence of 9p21.3 deletions across tumor types, we performed a pan-cancer analysis and found CDKN2A deletion-positive tumors had worse survival following first-line immunotherapy treatment in multiple tumor types (HR = 1.4, P < 0.001). These results indicate deletions at 9p21.3 are a putative negative predictor of clinical benefit from first-line immune checkpoint inhibitors and may have utility in choosing between mono-IO vs chemo-IO regimens in NSCLC.