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Forecasting Covid-19 in the United Kingdom: A dynamic SIRD model
Making use of a state space framework, we present a stochastic generalization of the SIRD model, where the mortality, infection, and underreporting rates change over time. A new format to the errors in the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Dead compartments is also presented, that permits reinfection....
| Autores principales: | , |
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
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Public Library of Science
2022
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9365164/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35947603 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0271577 |