Forecasting Covid-19 in the United Kingdom: A dynamic SIRD model

Making use of a state space framework, we present a stochastic generalization of the SIRD model, where the mortality, infection, and underreporting rates change over time. A new format to the errors in the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Dead compartments is also presented, that permits reinfection....

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Athayde, Gustavo M., Alencar, Airlane P.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2022
Materias:
Research Article
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9365164/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35947603
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0271577

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