Pathway to achieve a sustainable food and land-use transition in India

India has committed to reducing the emissions intensity of GDP by 33–35% from the 2005 level by 2030 in alignment with objectives of the Paris Agreement. This will require a significant reduction in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from the food and land-use sector. In this paper, we construct three p...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Jha, Chandan Kumar, Ghosh, Ranjan Kumar, Saxena, Satyam, Singh, Vartika, Mosnier, Aline, Guzman, Katya Perez, Stevanović, Miodrag, Popp, Alexander, Lotze-Campen, Hermann
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Japan 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9434068/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36065166
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11625-022-01193-0
_version_ 1784780783226978304
author Jha, Chandan Kumar
Ghosh, Ranjan Kumar
Saxena, Satyam
Singh, Vartika
Mosnier, Aline
Guzman, Katya Perez
Stevanović, Miodrag
Popp, Alexander
Lotze-Campen, Hermann
author_facet Jha, Chandan Kumar
Ghosh, Ranjan Kumar
Saxena, Satyam
Singh, Vartika
Mosnier, Aline
Guzman, Katya Perez
Stevanović, Miodrag
Popp, Alexander
Lotze-Campen, Hermann
author_sort Jha, Chandan Kumar
collection PubMed
description India has committed to reducing the emissions intensity of GDP by 33–35% from the 2005 level by 2030 in alignment with objectives of the Paris Agreement. This will require a significant reduction in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from the food and land-use sector. In this paper, we construct three potential pathways for India to achieve its emissions target by 2050 involving moderate ambitions of mitigation action (BAU), moderate ambitions combined with achieving healthy diets (BAU + NIN), and high levels of mitigation action inclusive of healthy diets (SUSTAINABLE). Using an integrated accounting tool, the FABLE Calculator, that harmonizes various socioeconomic and biophysical data, we project these pathways under the conditions of cross-country balanced trade flows. Results from the projections show that the demand for cereals will increase by 2050, leading to increased GHG emissions under BAU. Under the SUSTAINABLE pathways, GHG emissions will decrease over the same period due to reduced demand for cereals, whereas significant crop productivity and harvest intensity gains would lead to increased crop production. The exercise reveals the indispensability of healthy diets, improved crop, and livestock productivity, and net-zero deforestation in achieving India’s mid-century emission targets from the agriculture sector. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11625-022-01193-0.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-9434068
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2022
publisher Springer Japan
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-94340682022-09-01 Pathway to achieve a sustainable food and land-use transition in India Jha, Chandan Kumar Ghosh, Ranjan Kumar Saxena, Satyam Singh, Vartika Mosnier, Aline Guzman, Katya Perez Stevanović, Miodrag Popp, Alexander Lotze-Campen, Hermann Sustain Sci Special Feature: Original Article India has committed to reducing the emissions intensity of GDP by 33–35% from the 2005 level by 2030 in alignment with objectives of the Paris Agreement. This will require a significant reduction in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from the food and land-use sector. In this paper, we construct three potential pathways for India to achieve its emissions target by 2050 involving moderate ambitions of mitigation action (BAU), moderate ambitions combined with achieving healthy diets (BAU + NIN), and high levels of mitigation action inclusive of healthy diets (SUSTAINABLE). Using an integrated accounting tool, the FABLE Calculator, that harmonizes various socioeconomic and biophysical data, we project these pathways under the conditions of cross-country balanced trade flows. Results from the projections show that the demand for cereals will increase by 2050, leading to increased GHG emissions under BAU. Under the SUSTAINABLE pathways, GHG emissions will decrease over the same period due to reduced demand for cereals, whereas significant crop productivity and harvest intensity gains would lead to increased crop production. The exercise reveals the indispensability of healthy diets, improved crop, and livestock productivity, and net-zero deforestation in achieving India’s mid-century emission targets from the agriculture sector. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11625-022-01193-0. Springer Japan 2022-09-01 2023 /pmc/articles/PMC9434068/ /pubmed/36065166 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11625-022-01193-0 Text en © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Japan KK, part of Springer Nature 2022 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Special Feature: Original Article
Jha, Chandan Kumar
Ghosh, Ranjan Kumar
Saxena, Satyam
Singh, Vartika
Mosnier, Aline
Guzman, Katya Perez
Stevanović, Miodrag
Popp, Alexander
Lotze-Campen, Hermann
Pathway to achieve a sustainable food and land-use transition in India
title Pathway to achieve a sustainable food and land-use transition in India
title_full Pathway to achieve a sustainable food and land-use transition in India
title_fullStr Pathway to achieve a sustainable food and land-use transition in India
title_full_unstemmed Pathway to achieve a sustainable food and land-use transition in India
title_short Pathway to achieve a sustainable food and land-use transition in India
title_sort pathway to achieve a sustainable food and land-use transition in india
topic Special Feature: Original Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9434068/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36065166
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11625-022-01193-0
work_keys_str_mv AT jhachandankumar pathwaytoachieveasustainablefoodandlandusetransitioninindia
AT ghoshranjankumar pathwaytoachieveasustainablefoodandlandusetransitioninindia
AT saxenasatyam pathwaytoachieveasustainablefoodandlandusetransitioninindia
AT singhvartika pathwaytoachieveasustainablefoodandlandusetransitioninindia
AT mosnieraline pathwaytoachieveasustainablefoodandlandusetransitioninindia
AT guzmankatyaperez pathwaytoachieveasustainablefoodandlandusetransitioninindia
AT stevanovicmiodrag pathwaytoachieveasustainablefoodandlandusetransitioninindia
AT poppalexander pathwaytoachieveasustainablefoodandlandusetransitioninindia
AT lotzecampenhermann pathwaytoachieveasustainablefoodandlandusetransitioninindia