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Probabilistic forecasts of international bilateral migration flows
We propose a method for forecasting global human migration flows. A Bayesian hierarchical model is used to make probabilistic projections of the 39,800 bilateral migration flows among the 200 most populous countries. We generate out-of-sample forecasts for all bilateral flows for the 2015 to 2020 pe...
| Autores principales: | , |
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
| Publicado: |
National Academy of Sciences
2022
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9436307/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35994637 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2203822119 |