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Macrofinancial Causes of Optimism in Growth Forecasts
We analyze the causes of the apparent bias toward optimism in growth forecasts underpinning the design of IMF-supported programs, which has been documented in the literature. We find that financial variables observable to forecasters are strong predictors of growth forecast errors. The greater the e...
| Autores principales: | , |
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
| Publicado: |
Palgrave Macmillan UK
2022
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9440468/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/s41308-022-00187-3 |