Identification of a novel histone phosphorylation prognostic signature in hepatocellular carcinoma based on bulk and single-cell RNA sequencing

BACKGROUND: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the third leading cause of death in the world, characterized by high morbidity, poor prognosis and high mortality. Histone modifications regulate intracellular gene expression at the post-transcriptional level, and disturbances in the regulatory pattern of histone modifications at individual locus or across the genome can lead to tumorigenesis of HCC. In this study, we constructed a prognosis-related histone phosphorylation regulated (HPR) genes signature and elucidated whether HPR genes can predict overall survival in HCC patients. METHODS: Differentially expressed genes were screened using TCGA, ICGC and GEO databases, and a new risk signature was constructed by univariate Cox regression and Lasso regression analysis. Predictive nomograms were established by multivariate Cox regression of risk scores and clinical parameters, calibration curve and decision curve analysis were used to evaluate the models. The ssGSEA methods were used to determine the effect of risk scores on the tumor immune microenvironment. Data for HCC single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) have been downloaded from Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) to understand the role of HPR genes in tumorigenesis. RESULTS: Our analyses of nine HPR genes provided prognostic insights. Overall survival in the low-risk and high-risk groups was statistically higher, respectively (P<0.001). Cox regression analysis revealed that the risk score is a significant predictor of HCC outcomes (HR=2. 2.62, 95%CI: 1.248-5.514, P=0.011). In addition, a nomogram combining risk scores with TNM stages was constructed and tested from calibration curves and decision curves (AUC=0.780). MHC-class-I genes, iDCs, Macrophages, Tfh, Treg, Th2 were overexpressed in the high-risk group. CONCLUSION: HPR genes risk score is closely related to the prognosis of HCC, tumor immune process and tumor cell progression.