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A 12-month projection to September 2022 of the COVID-19 epidemic in the UK using a dynamic causal model

OBJECTIVES: Predicting the future UK COVID-19 epidemic allows other countries to compare their epidemic with one unfolding without public health measures except a vaccine program. METHODS: A Dynamic Causal Model was used to estimate key model parameters of the UK epidemic, such as vaccine effectiven...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Bowie, Cam, Friston, Karl
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Frontiers Media S.A. 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9705757/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36457320
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.999210