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A 12-month projection to September 2022 of the COVID-19 epidemic in the UK using a dynamic causal model
OBJECTIVES: Predicting the future UK COVID-19 epidemic allows other countries to compare their epidemic with one unfolding without public health measures except a vaccine program. METHODS: A Dynamic Causal Model was used to estimate key model parameters of the UK epidemic, such as vaccine effectiven...
Autores principales: | Bowie, Cam, Friston, Karl |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Frontiers Media S.A.
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9705757/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36457320 http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.999210 |
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