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Backcasting COVID-19: a physics-informed estimate for early case incidence

It is widely accepted that the number of reported cases during the first stages of the COVID-19 pandemic severely underestimates the number of actual cases. We leverage delay embedding theorems of Whitney and Takens and use Gaussian process regression to estimate the number of cases during the first...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Kevrekidis, G. A., Rapti, Z., Drossinos, Y., Kevrekidis, P. G., Barmann, M. A., Chen, Q. Y., Cuevas-Maraver, J.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Royal Society 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9748501/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36533196
http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.220329