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Frequent and unpredictable changes in COVID-19 policies and restrictions reduce the accuracy of model forecasts

Between June and August 2020, an agent-based model was used to project rates of COVID-19 infection incidence and cases diagnosed as positive from 15 September to 31 October 2020 for 72 geographic settings. Five scenarios were modelled: a baseline scenario where no future changes were made to existin...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Houdroge, Farah, Palmer, Anna, Delport, Dominic, Walsh, Tom, Kelly, Sherrie L., Hainsworth, Samuel W., Abeysuriya, Romesh, Stuart, Robyn M., Kerr, Cliff C., Coplan, Paul, Wilson, David P., Scott, Nick
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9875165/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36697434
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-27711-3