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Frequent and unpredictable changes in COVID-19 policies and restrictions reduce the accuracy of model forecasts
Between June and August 2020, an agent-based model was used to project rates of COVID-19 infection incidence and cases diagnosed as positive from 15 September to 31 October 2020 for 72 geographic settings. Five scenarios were modelled: a baseline scenario where no future changes were made to existin...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Nature Publishing Group UK
2023
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9875165/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36697434 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-27711-3 |